Research on the Construction Method of Inter-Provincial Spot Trading Network Model Considering Power Grid Congestion

This study proposes a full-cost electricity pricing model (M3) based on power flow tracing, addressing limitations in traditional nodal pricing and postage stamp methods. M3 dynamically allocates fixed transmission costs based on actual grid utilization, improving fairness, price signal accuracy, and congestion management. The model achieves fast convergence within 20 iterations across tested networks. Sensitivity analysis confirms that fuel costs and load variations significantly impact pricing, making M3 more adaptive and responsive. A regression-based forecasting model further enhances price predictability. The dual IEEE 118-bus case study validates M3’s feasibility in inter-provincial electricity markets, demonstrating its effectiveness for real-time pricing and investment planning.