The landscape of antibody binding affinity in SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 evolution

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    This work provides important new insights into the mutational pathways of SARS-CoV-2 to achieve antibody escape, as well as how these pathways are shaped by epistasis. The evidence supporting the conclusions is compelling based on rigorous analyses of data from a high-throughput binding assay. The study is important for evolutionary medicine and biology and relevant for human health.

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Abstract

The Omicron BA.1 variant of SARS-CoV-2 escapes convalescent sera and monoclonal antibodies that are effective against earlier strains of the virus. This immune evasion is largely a consequence of mutations in the BA.1 receptor binding domain (RBD), the major antigenic target of SARS-CoV-2. Previous studies have identified several key RBD mutations leading to escape from most antibodies. However, little is known about how these escape mutations interact with each other and with other mutations in the RBD. Here, we systematically map these interactions by measuring the binding affinity of all possible combinations of these 15 RBD mutations (2 15 =32,768 genotypes) to 4 monoclonal antibodies (LY-CoV016, LY-CoV555, REGN10987, and S309) with distinct epitopes. We find that BA.1 can lose affinity to diverse antibodies by acquiring a few large-effect mutations and can reduce affinity to others through several small-effect mutations. However, our results also reveal alternative pathways to antibody escape that does not include every large-effect mutation. Moreover, epistatic interactions are shown to constrain affinity decline in S309 but only modestly shape the affinity landscapes of other antibodies. Together with previous work on the ACE2 affinity landscape, our results suggest that the escape of each antibody is mediated by distinct groups of mutations, whose deleterious effects on ACE2 affinity are compensated by another distinct group of mutations (most notably Q498R and N501Y).

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  1. Author Response

    Reviewer #2 (Public Review):

    By now, the public is aware of the peculiarities underlying the omicron variants emergence and dissemination globally. This study investigates the mutational biography underlying how mutation effects and epistasis manifest in binding to therapeutic receptors.

    The study highlights how epistasis and other mutation effect measurements manifest in phenotypes associated with antibody binding with respect to spike protein in the omicron variant. It rigorously tests a large suite of mutations in the omicron receptor binding domain, highlighting differences in how mutation effects affect binding to certain therapeutic antibodies.

    Interestingly, mutations of large effect drive escape from binding to certain antibodies, but not others (S309). The difference in the mutational signature is the most interesting finding, and in particular, the signature of how higher-order epistasis manifests in the partial escape in S309, but less so in the full escape of other antibodies.

    The results are timely, the scope enormous, and the analyses responsible.

    My only main criticisms walk the stylistic/scientific line: many of the others have pioneered discussions and methods relating to the measurement of epistasis in proteins and other biomolecules. While I recognize that the purpose of this study is focused on the public health implications, I would have appreciated more of a dive into the peculiarity of the finding with respect to epistasis. I think the authors could achieve this by doing the following:

    a) Reconciling discussions around the mutation effects in light of contemporary discussions of global epistasis "vs" idiosyncratic epistasis, etc. Several of the authors of the manuscript have written other leading manuscripts of the topic. I would appreciate it if the authors couched the findings within other studies in this arena.

    We added a discussion related to global epistasis at the end of the “Epistasis Analysis” methods section. We tried to highlight that the cause and relevance of global epistasis phenomena are quite different at molecular and at organismic level.

    B) While the methods used to detect epistasis in the manuscript make sense, the authors surely realize that methods used to measure is a contentious dimension of the field. I'd appreciate an appeal/explanation as to why their methods were used relative to others. For example, the Lasso correction makes sense, but there are other such methods. Citations and some explanation would be great.

    We added more context and justification in the methods section (Epistasis Analysis). We used Lasso correction not particularly to obtain a sparser representation of the epistasis coefficients (an assumption that is not always valid, particularly within proteins) but rather to reduce instabilities created by the Tobit model inference. In this inference, the model coefficients are unbounded. Thus, if one mutation causes a complete binding loss, all epistatic terms associated with this mutation are not constrained and can become very large in magnitude. A Lasso term with a small coefficient constrains these coefficients but will have a limited influence on the other coefficients.

    Lastly (somewhat relatedly), I found myself wanting the discussion to be bolder and more ambitious. The summary, as I read it, is on the nose and very direct (which is appropriate), but I want more: What do the findings say for greater discussions surrounding evolution in sequence space? For discussions of epistasis in proteins of a certain kind? In, my view, this data set offers fodder for fundamental discussion in evolutionary biology and evolutionary medicine. I recognize, however, the constraints: such topics may not be within the scope of a single paper, and such discussions may distract from the biomedical applications, which are more relevant for human health.

    But I might say something similar about the biomedical implications: the authors do a good job outlining exactly what happened, but what does this say about patterns (the role of mutations of large effect vs. higher-order epistasis) in some traits vs others? Why might we expect certain patterns of epistasis with respect to antibody binding relative to other pathogenic virus phenotypes?

    We agree that these are interesting questions, and have added a paragraph in the discussion to explore these points.

    In summary: rigorous and important work, and I congratulate the authors.

  2. eLife assessment

    This work provides important new insights into the mutational pathways of SARS-CoV-2 to achieve antibody escape, as well as how these pathways are shaped by epistasis. The evidence supporting the conclusions is compelling based on rigorous analyses of data from a high-throughput binding assay. The study is important for evolutionary medicine and biology and relevant for human health.

  3. Reviewer #1 (Public Review):

    In this study, Moulana et al. measured the binding affinity of four antibodies, Ly-CoV016, REGN10987, Ly-CoV555, and S309, against ~30,000 RBD variants that represent the possible intermediates between the ancestral SARS-CoV-2 RBD and Omicron BA.1 RBD. Mutational pathway to antibody escape and the importance of epistasis in antibody binding were examined. By comparing the data here with a previous study by the same authors (ref 23), the authors also conclude that escape mutations with deleterious effects on ACE2 affinity can be compensated by Q498R and N501Y. Overall, the results are clearly presented and provide important insights into antibody escape.

  4. Reviewer #2 (Public Review):

    By now, the public is aware of the peculiarities underlying the omicron variants emergence and dissemination globally. This study investigates the mutational biography underlying how mutation effects and epistasis manifest in binding to therapeutic receptors.

    The study highlights how epistasis and other mutation effect measurements manifest in phenotypes associated with antibody binding with respect to spike protein in the omicron variant. It rigorously tests a large suite of mutations in the omicron receptor binding domain, highlighting differences in how mutation effects affect binding to certain therapeutic antibodies.

    Interestingly, mutations of large effect drive escape from binding to certain antibodies, but not others (S309). The difference in the mutational signature is the most interesting finding, and in particular, the signature of how higher-order epistasis manifests in the partial escape in S309, but less so in the full escape of other antibodies.

    The results are timely, the scope enormous, and the analyses responsible.

    My only main criticisms walk the stylistic/scientific line: many of the others have pioneered discussions and methods relating to the measurement of epistasis in proteins and other biomolecules. While I recognize that the purpose of this study is focused on the public health implications, I would have appreciated more of a dive into the peculiarity of the finding with respect to epistasis. I think the authors could achieve this by doing the following:

    a) Reconciling discussions around the mutation effects in light of contemporary discussions of global epistasis "vs" idiosyncratic epistasis, etc. Several of the authors of the manuscript have written other leading manuscripts of the topic. I would appreciate it if the authors couched the findings within other studies in this arena.

    B)While the methods used to detect epistasis in the manuscript make sense, the authors surely realize that methods used to measure is a contentious dimension of the field. I'd appreciate an appeal/explanation as to why their methods were used relative to others. For example, the Lasso correction makes sense, but there are other such methods. Citations and some explanation would be great.

    Lastly (somewhat relatedly), I found myself wanting the discussion to be bolder and more ambitious. The summary, as I read it, is on the nose and very direct (which is appropriate), but I want more: What do the findings say for greater discussions surrounding evolution in sequence space? For discussions of epistasis in proteins of a certain kind? In, my view, this data set offers fodder for fundamental discussion in evolutionary biology and evolutionary medicine. I recognize, however, the constraints: such topics may not be within the scope of a single paper, and such discussions may distract from the biomedical applications, which are more relevant for human health.

    But I might say something similar about the biomedical implications: the authors do a good job outlining exactly what happened, but what does this say about patterns (the role of mutations of large effect vs. higher-order epistasis) in some traits vs others? Why might we expect certain patterns of epistasis with respect to antibody binding relative to other pathogenic virus phenotypes?

    In summary: rigorous and important work, and I congratulate the authors.