Quantitative Prognostic Modeling in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: Multicenter Validation of the eSAH Score
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Background
aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is neurological emergency associated with substantial mortality and disability. Current grading systems such as the modified Fisher Scale (mFS) and World Federation of Neurological Societies (WFNS) score, rely on semiquantitative and examination based assessments. Hence, they demonstrate limited predictive precision. The enhanced subarachnoid hemorrhage (eSAH) score is a simplified quantitative model integrating age, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and cisternal subarachnoid hemorrhage volume (SAHV) to predict clinical outcomes after aSAH.
Methods
We performed a retrospective multicenter cohort study that included 1088 patients across three tertiary-care centers the United States. Predictive performance for unfavorable functional outcome, in-hospital mortality and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and area under the curve (AUC). Comparative analyses were performed and compared to the WFNS and mFS grading systems.
Results
the eSAH score demonstrated excellent discrimination for unfavorable functional outcome at discharge ( AUC 0.89 ) and in-hospital mortality (AUC 0.87). The DCI subscore demonstrated good discriminatory performance for predicting DCI (AUC 0.77). Compared with conventional grading systems, this was superior to both the WFNS (AUC 0.75) and the mFS ( AUC 0.70). increasing eSAH scores were additionally associated with progressively higher rates of mortality and unfavorable functional outcomes.
Conclusion
the eSAH score demonstrates strong external validity, reproducibility and superior predictive performance compared with conventional grading systems in a large multicenter cohort. These findings support the clinical utility of quantitative hemorrhage burden integration for early risk stratification in patients with aSAH.
