Data-Driven Prediction of Stress–Strain Fields Around Interacting Mining Excavations in Jointed Rock: A Comparative Study of Surrogate Models

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Abstract

Assessing the stress–strain state around interacting mining excavations using the finite element method (FEM) is computationally expensive for parametric studies. This study evaluates tabular machine-learning surrogate models for the rapid prediction of full stress–strain fields in fractured rock masses treated as an equivalent continuum. A dataset of 1000 parametric FEM simulations using the elastoplastic generalized Hoek–Brown constitutive model was generated to train Random Forest, LightGBM, CatBoost, and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models based on geometric features. The results show that the best models achieve R2 scores of 0.96–0.97 for stress components and 0.99 for total displacements. LightGBM and CatBoost provide the optimal balance between accuracy and computational cost, offering speed-ups of 15 to 70 times compared to FEM. While Random Forest yields slightly higher accuracy, it is resource-intensive. Conversely, MLP is the fastest but less accurate. These findings demonstrate that data-driven surrogates can effectively replace repeated FEM simulations, enabling efficient parametric analysis and intelligent design optimization for mine workings.

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