A mathematical analysis about Zika virus outbreak in Rio de Janeiro

  1. Eber Dantas
  2. Michel Tosin
  3. João Peterson
  4. Vinicius Lopes
  5. Americo Cunha Jr
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Abstract

This work deals with the calibration of SEIR epidemic model for Zika virus outbreak, in Rio de Janeiro, occurred in 2016, based on similar numerical analysis applied for disease's evolution in French Polyne-sia islands. Demographical increasing or decreasing is not considered. Vector is assumed to be infected for it's all lifespan. Model parameters fitting follows an empirical process, by comparison of obtained results with that in Polynesia case study, featuring as satisfactory the values that best reproduce model evolution in Rio de Janeiro scenario.  

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  1. Version published to 10.31224/3911