Silver's Dual Identity: The Energy Transition, The Great Divergence, and Taiwan's Strategic Challenge

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Abstract

This paper investigates the structural transformation of the global silver market, analyzing its paradigm shift from a primarily financial asset to a critical industrial material essential for the 21st-century energy transition. By synthesizing recent market data from 2024 and 2025, this study identifies a novel market phenomenon termed ''The Great Divergence,'' characterized by a simultaneous rise in global visible inventories and spot prices---a significant deviation from traditional supply-demand equilibrium models described in resource economics. We argue that this anomaly signals a ''strategic repricing'' of silver, reflecting its elevation to a matter of energy security. Furthermore, this paper applies this global framework to a comprehensive case study of Taiwan, an island economy with inelastic, policy-driven demand for silver in its photovoltaic (PV), electric vehicle (EV), and grid modernization sectors. The findings suggest that Taiwan faces a compounded risk profile: physical import dependency exacerbated by economic vulnerability to structural price inflation. We conclude by proposing a strategic pivot from ''Just-in-Time'' (JIT) procurement to ''Just-in-Case'' (JIC) stockpiling and technological innovation to mitigate these existential risks.

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