Land use change, management, and CO2 balance of second-crop corn in Brazil

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Abstract

Corn is Brazil's second most cultivated crop (21 Mha in 2023, 80% as a second crop), vital for food, feed, and biofuels. This study provides the first country-level mapping of second-crop corn for Brazil, with results for 2023 and the previous land use/cover 20 and 10 years before. Based on these, we estimated CO 2 balance from direct land use change (dLUC) and agricultural management practices (MP). Our results show that the share of corn area that was natural vegetation was 12.9% in 2003–2023 and reduced to 3.6% in 2013–2023 period. 20-year dLUC emissions ranged from 0.6 to 0.9 tCO 2 ⋅ha − 1 ⋅year − 1 , depending on the allocation method, but consistently lower than in the literature. Carbon removals from MP ranged from 0.15 to 0.2 tCO 2 .ha − 1 .yr − 1 , mitigating 20% of dLUC. dLUC + MP balance for second-crop corn ethanol ranged from 2.3–5.3 gCO 2 ⋅MJ − 1 in 2003–2023, reducing to 0.32–1.5 in the more recent 2013–2023 period.

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