Multidimensional Maintenance Maturity Modeling: Fuzzy Predictive Model and Case Study on Ensuring Operational Continuity Under Uncertainty

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Abstract

Ensuring operational continuity in modern industrial systems requires maintenance strategies that are both mature and adaptive to uncertainty. This study introduces and validates the Integrated Maintenance Maturity Model (IMMM), a multidimensional framework that combines reliability, safety, resilience, flexibility, and sustainability into a structured maturity assessment approach. Building on the conceptual foundations of maintenance maturity modeling, the IMMM is enhanced with fuzzy logic to address uncertainty, incorporate expert knowledge, and enable nuanced evaluations. A fuzzy inference system based on Mamdani logic was developed to integrate linguistic variables, apply rule-based reasoning, and defuzzify results into maturity scores. The model also includes additional parameters, such as technology adaptability and resource efficiency, to reflect real-world operational complexity. The applicability of the proposed framework was demonstrated through a case study in the automotive sector, where the fuzzy IMMM identified maturity gaps, supported decision-making, and provided strategic recommendations for advancing maintenance practices. Results confirm the model’s effectiveness in enhancing system dependability, adaptability, and sustainability under uncertainty. This work contributes to the development of predictive, uncertainty-aware maintenance maturity models and offers a practical tool for organizations seeking to strengthen operational resilience while aligning with long-term sustainability goals.

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