Quantum Technology Pathways: A Data-Driven Exploration from Publications and Patents (1970–2024) with Forecasting Implications
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This study employs integrated scientometric and technometric methodologies to analyze the evolution of quantum technologies over the period 1970–2024. By analyzing longitudinal patent and publication data, we identify key growth trajectories within the quantum domain, given by Quantum Computing, Quantum Computers, Quantum Communication, Quantum Cryptography, and Quantum Emitters. In particular, regression-based trend analysis reveals the most significant growth rates in Quantum Computing (β = 0.26), Quantum Computers (β = 0.25), Quantum Communication (β = 0.20), and Quantum Cryptography (β = 0.15). These findings highlight the accelerating innovation dynamics in these subfields and offer strategic insights for policymakers, funding agencies, and R&D managers aiming to prioritize investments in high-impact quantum technologies that are poised to shape future scientific and socioeconomic landscapes.