Comprehensive Evaluation of the Resilience of China’s Oil and Gas Industry Chain: Analysis and Thinking from Multiple Perspectives
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Against the backdrop of the current complex and changing world geopolitical landscape, ensuring national energy security has become the top priority of national energy governance.Enhancing the resilience of the oil and gas industry(OGI) chain is a key issue in addressing the global restructuring of industrial chains and the accelerated transformation of China's energy sector. This paper focuses on the primary contradictions facing the development of China's OGI, constructing a comprehensive evaluation index system for the resilience of China's OGI from four dimensions: resistance, recovery, innovation, and transformation. The resilience level of China's OGI chain from 2001 to 2022 was comprehensively evaluated using an entropy-weighted comprehensive assessment model, obstacle degree model, and coupling coordination degree model.The findings suggest that the overall resilience of China's OGI chain is exhibiting an upward trend, characterised by distinct phases. The performance of resilience varies significantly across different dimensions. The most notable of these is the improvement of resilience, whilst innovation capacity grows steadily, resistance remains relatively stable, and transformation capacity shows a significant increase after 2019. Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage(CCUS )technology and innovation capabilities in the downstream industrial chain are two key obstacles that affect the resilience of the OGI chain.The overall trend shows an upward trend in the coordination and coupling of the various resilient subsystems within China's OGI.