Modeling Potential Earthquake Risk Zones in Myanmar Due to the March 2025 Earthquake and Geological Factors Using Machine Learning

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Abstract

The magnitude of an earthquake is related to many variables. Among those variables are the geological rocks. It is hypothesized that a sedimentary rock is one of the geological types that can magnify an earthquake wave. Recently an earthquake with a strong magnitude has occurred in Myanmar. In this regard, this study aimed to elaborate how the recent Myanmar earthquake is related to the geological rocks. Besides that, this study also used the geological rock as predictor variables to model the potential earthquake risk zones. The model was generated using a machine learning method. The earthquake data used were data with periods of 28–30 March 2025. This study confirmed that most of the earthquake data occurrences were within the sedimentary rock regions. Based on the model, it confirms that the western parts of Myanmar have earthquake risk ranging from high to very high. This model then encourages the related stakeholders to consider the geological rocks and particularly the presence of sedimentary rocks. This variable should be considered in the development of a region that limits the earthquake risk.

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