Spatiotemporal patterns and progression of the Delta variant of COVID-19 and their health intervention linkages in Southeast Asia
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Abstract
The global pandemic of COVID-19 presented an unprecedented challenge to all countries in the world, among which Southeast Asia (SEA) countries managed to maintain and mitigate the first wave of COVID-19 in 2020. However, these countries were caught in the crisis after the Delta variant was introduced to SEA, though many countries had immediately implemented non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) measures along with vaccination in order to contain the disease spread. To investigate the potential linkages between epidemic dynamics and public health interventions, we adopted a prospective space-time scan method to conduct spatiotemporal analysis at the district level in the seven selected countries in SEA from June 2021 to October 2021. Results reveal the spatial and temporal propagation and progression of COVID-19 risks relative to public health measures implemented by different countries. Our research benefits continuous improvements of public health strategies in preventing and containing this pandemic.
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SciScore for 10.1101/2021.12.20.21268140: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Limitations and Future Work: Despite the insights from our study, there are notable limitations in the COVID-19 data. There are only seven out of twelve countries provided with data at the primary administrative district level, so we were not able to explore the complete propagation process in SEA. In addition, if high spatial resolution …
SciScore for 10.1101/2021.12.20.21268140: (What is this?)
Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.
Table 1: Rigor
NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.Table 2: Resources
No key resources detected.
Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).
Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:Limitations and Future Work: Despite the insights from our study, there are notable limitations in the COVID-19 data. There are only seven out of twelve countries provided with data at the primary administrative district level, so we were not able to explore the complete propagation process in SEA. In addition, if high spatial resolution data become available (i.e., city, county, even block or subzone), more specific and detailed patterns could be revealed. As a matter of fact, many previous studies were also faced with a shortage or loss of available data (i.e., insufficient pediatrics data) [54-56]. Moreover, insufficient knowledge of the data or dynamics would lead to invalidity and unreliability of responses to COVID-19 [57]. Therefore, we strongly suggest that public health authorities should disclose more representative and reliable data [58, 59]. Apart from this, COVID-19 transmission and its impacts have shown environmental inequality in terms of household income, education level, age, gender etc. [60, 61]. The potential correlation between environmental inequality and COVID-19 should be further studied using diverse data, which can provide significant insights to resource allocation and regional prevention.
Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.
Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.
Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.
Results from rtransparent:- Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
- No protocol registration statement was detected.
Results from scite Reference Check: We found no unreliable references.
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