Using newspaper obituaries to “nowcast” daily mortality: Evidence from the Italian COVID-19 hot-spots

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Abstract

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  1. SciScore for 10.1101/2020.05.31.20117168: (What is this?)

    Please note, not all rigor criteria are appropriate for all manuscripts.

    Table 1: Rigor

    NIH rigor criteria are not applicable to paper type.

    Table 2: Resources

    No key resources detected.


    Results from OddPub: We did not detect open data. We also did not detect open code. Researchers are encouraged to share open data when possible (see Nature blog).


    Results from LimitationRecognizer: We detected the following sentences addressing limitations in the study:
    Our approach, despite powerful, is not free from limitations. First, newspapers obituaries may underrepresent the actual mortality level, an issue that becomes more severe during the epidemic peak (see Figure 1). Such underrepresentation, however, goes against our estimates since it should decrease the precision of our estimates. Second, despite concentrated in the most affected Italian region, our sample refers only to two municipalities. We are agnostic about the existence of heterogeneous individual behavioral attitudes towards publishing newspapers obituaries in other locations.8 Understanding how such heterogeneity may affect our estimates constitutes a valuable path for future research.

    Results from TrialIdentifier: No clinical trial numbers were referenced.


    Results from Barzooka: We did not find any issues relating to the usage of bar graphs.


    Results from JetFighter: We did not find any issues relating to colormaps.


    Results from rtransparent:
    • Thank you for including a conflict of interest statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • Thank you for including a funding statement. Authors are encouraged to include this statement when submitting to a journal.
    • No protocol registration statement was detected.

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