Real-Time Genomic Epidemiology Approaches to a Measles Outbreak Response in Utah
Discuss this preprint
Start a discussion What are Sciety discussions?Listed in
This article is not in any list yet, why not save it to one of your lists.Abstract
As vaccination rates have declined, large measles outbreaks have taken hold in vulnerable populations. In 2025, the United States saw the highest number of measles cases since 1991. After Utah’s first case in June 2025, the Utah Public Health Laboratory (UPHL) began performing whole genome sequencing (WGS) on clinical measles samples. As Utah’s outbreak grew, public health professionals used WGS data to identify clusters of disease, and combined genomic and epidemiologic data to identify factors that may fuel the spread of disease throughout the state. This study used sequenced samples from 65% of reported measles cases in Utah. Time-scaled and maximum likelihood phylogenetic trees were generated. A single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) threshold of one was used to generate genomic clusters, and a Fisher’s Exact test was used to determine association between genomic cluster and epidemiological variables. Epidemiological clusters were assessed using annotated phylogenetic trees. We found multiple introductions of measles into Utah, with one accounting for the majority of cases. As measles spread, two phylogenetic clades emerged with differing geographical case compositions. We identified a significant association between shared school and genomic clustering, and we reconstructed transmission chains within schools and emerging from school sporting events. This study demonstrates the utility of WGS in real-time outbreak investigations. Sequencing data allowed for gaps in epidemiological data to be filled, revealing undetected transmission and clarifying whether cases belong to a known outbreak. We also highlight that schools and high-contact sporting events played a significant role in fueling transmission across the state.
Importance
As vaccination rates decline, measles outbreaks will continue to appear across the United States. WGS has become easier to integrate into public health laboratories, as has genomic data into epidemiological workflows. Due to the nature of measles outbreaks, WGS is a valuable tool to fill in the gaps of epidemiological investigations and assess potential areas or events at risk of greater transmission. In this study, we show that utilizing WGS in real time was crucial in our understanding of how transmission occurred following large gatherings. By demonstrating the utility of integrating WGS into a real-time epidemiological workflow on a large scale, this study provides a launching point for further application of genomic data to investigate and understand emerging outbreaks.