Incidence and Predictors of IOP-Lowering Treatment Following Detection of Referable Glaucoma in a Teleretinal Screening Program

Purpose

To evaluate the incidence and baseline predictors of intraocular pressure (IOP)-lowering treatment following detection of referable glaucoma by teleretinal screening.

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Methods

Participants were derived from a safety-net teleretinal diabetic retinopathy screening program (2013-2024). Participants included individuals who screened positive for referable glaucoma (cup-to-disc ratio [CDR] ≥0.6 or CDR asymmetry ≥0.2) and completed in-office diagnostic evaluation. The primary outcome was initiation of IOP-lowering treatment (medication, laser, or surgery) and the secondary outcome was intervention with surgery. Cumulative incidence functions were estimated, accounting for loss to follow-up. Fine-Gray models were used to identify baseline screening predictors to risk stratify each outcome. Glaucoma diagnosis was approximated using diagnostic codes and chart review.

Results

2,367 participants were included. The cumulative incidence of treatment was 19.6% (95% CI: 18.0-21.2) at Year 1 and 45.1% (42.1-48.1) at Year 8. Early treatment occurred primarily in glaucoma cases, whereas treatment accumulated longitudinally in glaucoma suspects, reaching 36.5% (31.6-41.5) by Year 8. Surgery was less common (8-year incidence: 5.3%). Baseline screening data predicted treatment and surgery, enabling risk stratification. At Year 8, cumulative incidence differed substantially between high- and low-risk groups (treatment: 59.9% vs. 31.2%; surgery: 9.7% vs. 1.0%). Older age (sub-distribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.03 per year, p<0.001), Black race (SHR 1.50, p<0.001), and personal history of glaucoma (SHR 1.90, p<0.001) were associated with treatment; Asian race was protective (0.71, p=0.03). Older age (SHR 1.06, p<0.001), worse visual acuity (SHR 5.11 per logMAR unit, p<0.001), and screening at a hospital-based site (SHR 2.46, p=0.003) were associated with surgical treatment.

Conclusion

Nearly half of safety-net diabetic patients screening positive for referable glaucoma initiated IOP-lowering treatment over 8 years, while few received surgery. Baseline screening characteristics enabled risk stratification of treatment and surgery. These findings address an evidence gap about longitudinal consequences of screening and suggest that its impact extends beyond detection of prevalent glaucoma to include identification of high-risk glaucoma suspects who warrant ongoing surveillance.

Highlights

• Longitudinal treatment outcomes address consequences of glaucoma screening

• Nearly half of diabetic patients with referable glaucoma received treatment

• Few patients progressed to surgery

• Characteristics assessed at screening enabled risk stratification