Increasing frequency of secondary dengue infections in sequential outbreaks (2016-2024). Clinical impact and diagnostic challenges
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Successive dengue virus (DENV) outbreaks can progressively reshape population immunity influencing disease expression and diagnostic performance.
Objectives
The aim was to evaluate the impact of secondary infections across sequential outbreaks on clinical severity, serotype dynamics and diagnostic concordance.
Methods
This retrospective study analyzed 976 febrile-stage samples from three sequential outbreaks in Misiones, Argentina. For serotyping and clinical analyses, 869 viremic samples confirmed by at least one direct method were included (2016: n=512; 2019: n=148; 2024: n=209). Additionally, 318 samples, including 107 non-viremic cases, were used to compare NS1 rapid diagnostic tests (NS1 Ag) and RT-PCR. Viral serotyping and clinical and laboratory markers of disease severity were evaluated.
Results
Secondary infections increased from 31.05% (2016) to 43.24% (2019) and 53.87% (2024) (p<0.0010). Serotype distribution shifted from DENV-1 predominance in 2016 (95.12%), DENV-1/DENV-4 co-circulation in 2019 (60.71%/39.29%), and DENV-2 predominance in 2024 (97.60%). Secondary infections were associated with more severe disease manifestations, particularly in 2024, with higher hematocrit (p=0.0120) and hemoglobin (p=0.0080), lower white blood cells (p=0.020) and platelet counts (p=0.0030), and elevated AST (p=0.0007) and ALT (p=0.0130). Concordance between NS1 Ag and RT-PCR was lower in secondary infections (κ=0.457 vs κ=0.759, p=0.0013).
Conclusions
The rising frequency of secondary infections may affect both clinical severity and diagnostic performance during outbreaks. The clinical impact was more evident in 2024, likely associated with the introduction of a new serotype. These findings highlight the need for optimized surveillance and diagnostic strategies to improve case detection and patient management during epidemics.
