The association of Red Cell Distribution Width and Red Cell Distribution Width related indices with the in-Hospital Mortality of Congestive Heart Failure in a retrospective observational cohort study

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Abstract

Background

Red cell distribution width (RDW), a readily available hematological parameter reflecting erythrocyte size heterogeneity, has been increasingly recognized as a prognostic marker in congestive heart failure (CHF), with elevated levels independently associated with adverse outcomes. However, RDW-derived composite indices—particularly the RDW-to-platelet ratio (RPR) and RDW-to-hemoglobin ratio (RHR), which integrate inflammatory, hemostatic, and oxygen-delivery pathways—remain largely unexplored in CHF populations. Whether these indices provide incremental prognostic value beyond RDW alone in critically ill patients with CHF has not been established.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study included 30,409 participants from the MIMIC-IV and eICUCRD databases. Multivariable logistic regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, and subgroup analyses were employed to evaluate the associations between RDW, RDWderived indices (RPR and RHR), and in-hospital mortality in patients with congestive heart failure.

Results

Based on a pooled cohort of 30,409 patients with CHF from the MIMIC-IV and multi-center eICU-CRD databases (15,983 and 14,426, respectively), 16,295 (53.6%) were male and 14,114 were female, with a median age of 71.7 years. The mean RDW was 16.0 ± 2.5, and the overall in-hospital mortality rate was 12.6%. Higher RDW quintiles were associated with progressively increased in-hospital mortality. In the fully adjusted model, RDW, RPR, and RHR were all significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality, with adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of 2.46 (95% CI: 2.17–2.79) for RDW,1.55 (95% CI: 1.38–1.73) for RPR, and 2.43 (95% CI: 2.09–2.82) for RHR. Sensitivity analyses using restricted cubic splines demonstrated that the association between RDW and RHR with in-hospital mortality was linear (P for nonlinearity > 0.05), whereas that for RPR exhibited a non-linear pattern (P = 0.02 for nonlinearity).

Conclusions

Elevated RDW, RPR, and RHR were independently associated with increased in-hospital mortality in patients with congestive heart failure. Notably, RPR exhibited a non-linear threshold association with in-hospital mortality.

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