A computational account of how positive performance bias supports cognitive effort

The willingness to exert cognitive effort is essential but is constrained by the subjective cost of effort. Although effortful tasks are often avoided, positive bias about one’s own performance may help sustain engagement with cognitive demands. Here, participants completed an effort-based decision-making task and reported trial-by-trial predictions of their own performance, allowing us to quantify performance prediction error (PPE) as the discrepancy between subjective and objective accuracy. The results showed that PPE was predominantly positive and increased with effort level, indicating greater overestimation under higher cognitive demands. Using a computational model, we show that choices were best explained by a learning model in which rewarded trials accompanied by positive PPE decreased subsequent sensitivity to effort. A confidence-based control model did not provide a better account of choices, suggesting that this effect was better captured by positive performance bias than by confidence alone. Our findings provide a computational account of how biased self-evaluation may attenuate the subjective cost of cognitive effort and extend the positive bias literature to the task need for cognitive effort.