Efficient Stochastic Trace Generation for Transcription ^⋆

Bursty transcription in single cells typically produces over-dispersed, skewed, and sometimes heavy-tailed expression distributions that are explained by two-state Markov models of the promoters. While the gold standard for simulation is exact stochastic sampling with Gillespie’s algorithm, obtaining thousands of timed traces is computationally costly. Surrogate models based on stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are widely used to speed up this simulation process. An example is the Chemical Langevin Equation based on Gaussian noise, which, however, does not capture heavy-tailed noise.

In this work, we present a unified SDE framework that combines deterministic drift, Gaussian fluctuations, and additive sporadic jumps of arbitrary distributions, and provide an open-source Python implementation, bcrnnoise . The framework subsumes standard surrogate models and allows for vectorized generation of batches of transcription traces. We assess computational speed and accuracy of common surrogate models along with new models, showing that high accuracy can be obtained while reducing computational cost up to two orders of magnitude.