Cell Growth and Division Shape mRNA–Protein Correlations

Correlations between cellular variables, such as gene-expression levels, provide insights into regulatory mechanisms. We focus here on correlations between mRNA and protein levels and re-examine previously derived analytical predictions. We test this prediction on single-cell E. coli data and see substantial disagreement. We hypothesize that this discrepancy arises from the assumption of constant cell volume and develop a theoretical framework for mRNA–protein correlations in growing and dividing cells. Within this framework, we derive an analytical expression for mRNA– protein correlations and show that explicit incorporation of growth and division substantially alters these correlations. The resulting relation is invariant to upstream transcriptional dynamics, and we validate it using stochastic simulations across multiple gene-regulatory architectures. Finally, we show that the derived predictions are consistent with the E. coli data.