Atrial Fibrillation Risk Scores as Potential Predictors of Significant Coronary Artery Disease in Chronic Coronary Syndrome: A Novel Diagnostic Approach
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Chronic coronary syndrome (CCS) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are prevalent cardiovascular conditions that share numerous risk factors and pathophysiological mechanisms. While clinical scores commonly used in AF—such as CHA2DS2VA (which includes congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75, diabetes, stroke/TIA, vascular disease, and age 65–74), HAS-BLED (which incorporates hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history, labile INR, elderly age, and drug/alcohol use), and C2HEST (incorporating coronary artery disease, COPD, hypertension, elderly age ≥ 75, systolic heart failure, and thyroid disease)—are traditionally applied to rhythm or bleeding risk prediction, their value in estimating the angiographic severity of coronary artery disease (CAD) remains underexplored. We conducted a prospective, single-center study including 131 patients with suspected stable CAD referred for coronary angiography, stratified according to coronary angiographic findings into two groups: significant coronary stenosis (S-CCS) and non-significant coronary stenosis (N-CCS). At admission, AF-related scores (CHA2DS2, CHA2DS2VA, CHA2DS2VA-HSF, CHA2DS2VA-RAF, CHA2DS2VA-LAF, HAS-BLED, C2HEST, and HATCH) were calculated. CAD severity was subsequently assessed using the SYNTAX and Gensini scores. Statistical comparisons and Pearson correlation analyses were performed to evaluate the association between clinical risk scores and angiographic findings. Patients in the S-CCS group had significantly higher scores in CHA2DS2VA (4.09 ± 1.656 vs. 3.20 ± 1.338, p = 0.002), HAS-BLED (1.98 ± 0.760 vs. 1.36 ± 0.835, p < 0.001), CHA2DS2VA-HSF (6.00 ± 1.854 vs. 5.26 ± 1.712, p = 0.021), and C2HEST (3.49 ± 1.501 vs. 2.55 ± 1.279, p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression identified HAS-BLED and C2HEST as independent predictors of significant coronary lesions. A threshold value of HAS-BLED ≥ 1.5 and C2HEST ≥ 3.5 demonstrated moderate discriminative ability (AUC = 0.694 and 0.682, respectively), with acceptable sensitivity and specificity. These scores also demonstrated moderate to strong correlations with both Gensini and SYNTAX scores. AF-related clinical scores, especially HAS-BLED and C2HEST, may serve as practical and accessible tools for early CAD risk stratification in patients with suspected CCS. Their application in clinical practice may serve as supplementary triage tools to help prioritize patients for further diagnostic evaluation, but they are not intended to replace standard imaging or testing.