General flowering in temperate forests arises from multi-timescale community synchrony

Read the full article See related articles

Discuss this preprint

Start a discussion What are Sciety discussions?

Listed in

This article is not in any list yet, why not save it to one of your lists.
Log in to save this article

Abstract

Community-wide “general flowering” has been regarded as a tropical phenomenon. Here, we show that temperate forests also exhibit community-wide flowering at the regional scale. Annual seed-production records for seven dominant tree species across 432 forest sites, analysed with timescale-explicit wavelet metrics, reveal landscape-scale synchrony structured by two periods — a 2–4-year band and a 5–8-year band — and associated with spatially coherent summer temperatures. This dual-band synchrony demonstrates that large-scale, cross-species reproductive alignment is an emergent property of temperate forest communities, implying shared climate cueing of reproduction and the potential for community-wide predator satiation. Since $\sim$2005, the short- and long-period synchrony has weakened, and the short-period signal has shifted towards $\sim$2 years (shorter period). Species-specific shifts in timescale structure no longer sum constructively, implying smaller, less predictable resource pulses at the community level, reduced community-wide predator satiation, and a decoupling of consumer–resource dynamics under continued warming.

Article activity feed