The Duality of Strategy: A Longitudinal Financial Ratio Analysis of Indonesia's Tobacco Leaders

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Abstract

This study conducts a comparative longitudinal analysis of the financial performance and strategic positioning of two leading Indonesian tobacco companies, PT Gudang Garam Tbk (GGRP) and PT HM Sampoerna Tbk (HMSP), over a multi-decade period from approximately 1990 onward. Utilizing a rolling five-year average methodology, the research examines three core financial metrics: Return on Assets (ROA), Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER), and Total Asset Turnover (TATO). The analysis reveals a pronounced and sustained strategic divergence between the two firms. HM Sampoerna consistently demonstrates a financial profile characterized by superior operational efficiency (higher TATO), a conservative capital structure (lower DER), and consequently, a higher and more stable return on assets (ROA). This triad of metrics suggests a strategy centered on asset-light operations, brand-driven efficiency, and financial resilience. Conversely, Gudang Garam exhibits a contrasting archetype defined by an asset-intensive, leverage-driven model, with lower asset turnover, significantly higher financial leverage, and a comparatively lower ROA, indicating a competitive strategy reliant on scale and cost leadership, albeit with an attendant higher risk profile. The persistent, non-converging nature of these trends underscores that these are not transient performance gaps but reflections of deeply embedded, deliberate, and divergent corporate philosophies. The findings align with established financial theories, including the DuPont analysis, trade-off theory, and the resource-based view of the firm. This research contributes to the understanding of how sustained strategic choices manifest in long-term financial data and provides investors and analysts with a framework for evaluating corporate strategy through the lens of rolling financial ratio analysis.

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