Confirming that Modern Global Warming is Predominantly Geomagnetically Driven and Seeking other Drivers by Employing Latitudinal bands.

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Abstract

The hypothesis that most of modern warming is geomagnetically driven is tested and shown to be correct. Models employing single and multiple geomagnetic parameters including both North and South Dip Pole positions, Tilt and Dipole Strength are developed and tested. Pole movement with accompanying changs in Tilt and Dipole strength changes particle precipitation, changes cloud, lowers albedo and causes some 250 mK of warming per decade since 1958 in Northern mid-latitudes and double that in Polar regions. Evidence of the same has been obtained independently here wherein the CERES Absorbed Solar Radiation Map shows a massive 7.5-10.5 W/m^2/decade trend, exactly of the order of magnitude predicted by EEP hypothesis. It is also confirmed how decreasing Dipole Moment counters EEP effects in the SAA where the geomagnetic field is weakest. Residuals of unaccounted warming from the 2 Pole model are correlated against known anthropogenic and natural climate drivers to investigate their strength and relevance. SO2 is shown to have the most statistically relevant and a cooling effect. A breakdown of this unexplained warming has been sought. Although mainly statistically of very weak or no relevance these sources are in order of intensity; Aviation +45mK/decade, Electrical Power via PLHR ionosphere effects +28mK/decade, Solar cycle +18mK/decade (7.2% ) and CO2 2mK/decade (32mK in Polar regions). This totals 75mK/decade anthropogenic and 18mK/decade natural solar cycle. This is offset by SO2 which except in the polar regions has a cooling effect of approximately 50 mK/decade. Very surprisingly CO2 is found to have weakest and most statistically irrelevant effect of all known drivers, and it is estimated here to have caused only some 34 mK of warming in mid latitudes since pre-industrial times. This is discussed at length. The dangers of Geoengineering/ SRM are also briefly discussed in relation to these findings. The findings here add to the growing body of evidence that there is something desperately wrong with present climate models and with traditional CO2 heat trapping hypotheses. Because these results are in line with satellite studies and confirm the author’s previous work, there now needs to be an urgent paradigm shift in Climate Science.

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