Improving Evidence Synthesis with Artificial Intelligence

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Abstract

Scientific knowledge is represented by approximately 3.3 million new journal articles each year and is expanding at an unprecedented pace, increasing in total size by 59% between 2012 and 2022 [1]. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses provide a structured means of evidence synthesis, but they are slow and labor-intensive, often requiring more than a year to complete. This bottleneck constrains scientific progress and is especially consequential in contexts such as public health crises (e.g., the COVID-19 pandemic), where timely evidence is essential for guiding policy and practice [2, 3]. Here we show that artificial intelligence methods can substantially improve both the efficiency and accuracy of systematic reviews. Using diverse datasets and examining over 30,000 data points, our AI-assisted approach matched or exceeded human performance while greatly reducing the risk of overlooking relevant evidence. In multiple tests of screening performance, the AI achieved 97.2% sensitivity and 96.84% specificity. With respect to extraction, the AI obtained 96.96% extraction accuracy, outperforming human efforts, and completed tasks up to 99% faster. These results demonstrate that AI augmentation can enable more timely and comprehensive evidence synthesis, facilitate living systematic reviews, and better support researchers, policymakers, and practitioners in responding to fast-moving scientific developments. Integrating AI into evidence synthesis represents a decisive advance in the accumulation of scientific knowledge.

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