Seroprevalence of Dengue, Chikungunya and Rift Valley fever virus IgG antibodies in Kenyan blood donors

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Abstract

Dengue virus (DENV), chikungunya virus (CHIKV) and Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) continue to cause recurrent outbreaks in East Africa, yet contemporary national seroprevalence data remain absent. We used a new in-house multiplex immunoassay (arbo-plex MIA) to estimate the national burden of arboviral exposure across Kenya. We validated the arbo-plex MIA against Foci Reduction Neutralization Test (FRNT) and commercial IgG ELISAs. Subsequently, we tested 11,124 blood donor samples, collected nationwide from individuals aged 15-64 years in 2020 /2021, for anti-IgG antibodies to DENV, CHIKV and RVFV. Seroprevalence estimates were stratified by age, sex and region. In 2020/21, crude national seroprevalence was 20.9% for DENV, 24% for CHIKV and 4.2% for RVFV while Bayesian population-weighted and test-performance-adjusted national seroprevalence was 7.6% for DENV, 18.4% for CHIKV and 3.1% for RVFV. Seropositivity increased with age for all viruses. The highest seroprevalence for DENV (58.2%) and CHIKV (32.8%) occurred in the Coast region, while RVFV burden was greatest in North-Eastern (5.3%). The arbo-plex MIA proved to be a sensitive, specific and operationally efficient platform for integrated arbovirus surveillance. Overall, the findings suggest that approximately one in five people in Kenya had evidence of prior CHIKV exposure by 2020/21, highlighting widespread transmission and a potentially substantial but under-recognized public health burden that warrants urgent attention. In contrast, DENV and RVFV appear more geographically focal, with persistent but clustered transmission patterns, suggesting that targeted surveillance and region-specific control strategies may be more appropriate for their containment.

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