Region-specific Z-R relationships from disdrometer observations for improved radar precipitation nowcasting over Kolkata, India: convective–stratiform characterization and QPE validation

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Abstract

Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) from weather radar is foundational to precipitation nowcasting, flash flood warnings, and disaster management in tropical urban regions. This study derives region-specific radar reflectivity–rain rate (Z-R) relationships for the Dumdum area of Kolkata, India, using four years (March 2022 – March 2026) of continuous drop size distribution (DSD) measurements from a Joss-Waldvogel DISTROMET RD-80 impact disdrometer. From 73,788 quality-controlled one-minute rain samples, the overall Z-R relationship is Z = 244R 1.36 (R² = 0.909). Precipitation classified into convective and stratiform types using mass-weighted mean diameter (D_m), rain rate, and temporal variability criteria yields distinct microphysical regimes: convective rainfall (14.5% of samples, D_m = 2.02 mm) follows Z = 798R 1.01 , exhibiting a near-unity exponent characteristic of DSD equilibrium, while stratiform rainfall (75.4%, D_m = 1.08 mm) follows Z = 216R 1.27 , consistent with narrow DSDs dominated by small drops. QPE validation reveals that the widely used Marshall-Palmer relation (Z = 200R 1.60 ) systematically underestimates heavy rainfall (R > 10 mm h⁻¹) by 20–31% — a critical deficiency for flash flood nowcasting in this flood-prone metropolitan region. The Dumdum Z-R corrects this bias, producing conservative overestimates (+ 13–18%) that represent the safer error direction for disaster warning systems. At light rain rates, the Dumdum Z-R reduces relative bias from 46% (Marshall-Palmer) to 16%. The seasonal and type-specific Z-R parameterizations, validated through a case study of a heavy rain event, provide an operationally ready framework for improving real-time radar QPE at the Kolkata DWR. These results demonstrate that region-specific, DSD-informed Z-R calibration is essential for reliable precipitation nowcasting in tropical India, with direct implications for urban flood early warning systems supporting climate adaptation (SDG 13).

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