Quantitative Optimization and Assessment of Maintenance Rules in Nuclear Power Plants Using Probabilistic Safety Assessment

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Abstract

The traditional deterministic safety management systems adopted in early nuclear power plants (NPPs) often operate as inflexible frameworks, leading to overly conservative maintenance strategies and a lack of transparency in safety analysis logic.To address the limitations of deterministic approaches, this paper proposes a quantitative optimization and assessment framework for Maintenance Rules (MR) in Pressurized Water Reactors (PWRs) using Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). The methodology integrates risk-informed decision-making to categorize Systems, Structures, and Components (SSCs) based on their risk significance using Fussell-Vesely (F-V) importance and Risk Achievement Worth (RAW). Furthermore, a dynamic baseline threshold approach is established to quantitatively determine plant-specific performance criteria, including the maximum allowed Unavailability (UA) and Maintenance Rule Functional Failures (MRFFs). A case study utilizing real operational data from the Residual Heat Removal System (RRA) and Component Cooling Water System (RRI) validates the proposed framework. The results demonstrate that the risk-informed MR framework effectively optimizes maintenance resource allocation and enhances plant economics without compromising core damage frequency (CDF) or large early release frequency (LERF). This quantitative approach provides a reproducible template for upgrading nuclear safety management systems in existing PWR fleets.

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