Participant-Level Anomaly Detection for Generation and Load Data Using Dual-Side LSTMs

Read the full article See related articles

Discuss this preprint

Start a discussion What are Sciety discussions?

Listed in

This article is not in any list yet, why not save it to one of your lists.
Log in to save this article

Abstract

Reliable anomaly detection for generation and load metering data is essential to market settlement. In practice, anomalies are diverse and sparse, and the load side contains a large and time-varying number of participants, which makes fine-grained participant-level localization difficult. Conventional statistical thresholding and generic outlier detectors (e.g., LOF) are often sensitive to nonstationarity and cannot effectively exploit temporal dependency across intra-day time slots, resulting in coarse alarms and high false positives. To address these issues, this paper proposes a dual-side LSTM-based participant-level anomaly detection method. Multimodal features are constructed from 24 intra-day measurements, a daily total, FFT-derived frequency components, and calendar context. A zero-padding and masking mechanism is introduced to handle daily changes in the number of load participants without contaminating model training. A dual-layer LSTM with a 16-d participant embedding learns participant-specific temporal patterns, and a rule combining relative-error screening with confidence verification produces participant-level anomaly positioning and abnormal time-slot identification. Experiments on one-month desensitized provincial-grid data (242 generators and 78k--85k loads) achieve 98.3\% F1-score (96.7\% recall, 100.0\% precision), with 97.2\% positioning accuracy and 96.8\% time-slot recognition accuracy, substantially outperforming statistical and LOF baselines.

Article activity feed