Deep Roots of Support for Unconstrained Leadership: Evidence from Second-Generation Immigrants and Ancestral Pastoral Organization

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Abstract

Why do some individuals express stronger support for unconstrained leadership? This paper argues that preferences over executive constraints may partly reflect durable cultural legacies of historical social organization. I focus on pastoral nomadic societies, where political authority often relied on mobility, bargaining, and redistributive brokerage rather than dense impersonal institutions. To study this question, I combine World Values Survey data with ethnographic and spa- tial measures of pre-industrial social organization and focus on second-generation immigrants, which allows comparisons among individuals exposed to the same host-country institutions but differing in ancestral origins. I map respondents’ self-reported ethnic identities to Ethnographic Atlas societies, use matched loca- tions as proxies for ancestral homelands, and construct ancestry-linked measures of nomadic exposure: an Ethnographic Atlas nomadic social-organization indica- tor, proximity to reconstructed Eurasian nomadic corridors, and a model-based measure of relative nomadic pastoralism suitability. The latter is constructed from the standardized difference between land suitability for nomadic pastoral- ism and land suitability for agriculture around ancestral homelands, and then re-standardized so that higher values indicate environments relatively more favorable to nomadic pastoralism than to sedentary agriculture. I first show in pre-industrial Ethnographic Atlas validations that the corridor and ecological proxies are positively associated with the incidence of nomadic social organiza- tion. In the contemporary analysis, all ancestry-linked measures are positively associated with support for “a strong leader who does not have to bother with parliament and elections.” The results are robust to host-country and survey-year fixed effects, ancestral-region fixed effects, rich individual and ancestral controls, and appendix robustness checks using an alternative 100km ecological buffer.

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