Evaluating US Labor Market Performance with Longitudinal Data Analytics

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Abstract

This study examines labor market performance in the United States using longitudinal data analytics to better understand employment dynamics, wage mobility, workforce transitions, and structural changes over time. Leveraging integrated employer–employee datasets and advanced panel modeling techniques, the research contrasts cross-sectional and longitudinal approaches to evaluate differences in reliability, explanatory depth, and predictive accuracy. Econometric models combined with machine learning–based forecasting methods are applied to identify patterns in job mobility, wage scarring, skill mismatches, recession cohort effects, and demographic disparities. The findings demonstrate that longitudinal data substantially enhances the evaluation of labor market performance, particularly in capturing mobility pathways, structural turbulence, and long-term earnings trajectories. Results also indicate improved forecast precision when dynamic individual-level data are incorporated into policy modeling frameworks. The study concludes that labor market analysis grounded in longitudinal methodologies produces more reliable forecasts and supports the development of more effective workforce and economic policy strategies.

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