Cytogenetics-based Clinical Trajectories in Patients with MRD Negativity Post Autologous Transplant for Multiple Myeloma

Measurable residual disease (MRD) assessment has become central to risk-adapted treatment strategies in multiple myeloma, yet the prognostic value of MRD negativity following autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) across individual high-risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCAs) remains unclear. We analyzed 351 newly diagnosed patients who achieved MRD negativity (sensitivity 2.4×10 ^− 6 ) at Day 100 following ASCT and had baseline cytogenetic data available. Median follow-up was 50.4 months. Standard-risk cytogenetics were present in 46% (n = 162), while 34% (n = 118) had one HRCA and 20% (n = 71) had ≥ 2 HRCAs. Despite uniform MRD negativity, several HRCAs continued to confer inferior progression-free survival (PFS). Compared with the standard-risk group (4-year PFS 84%), patients with del(17p), 1q21+, t(4;14), or MAF translocations [t(14;16)/t(14;20)] had significantly lower 4-year PFS rates: 56% (HR 2.89; p = 0.0001), 60% (HR 2.46; p = 0.0001), 43% (HR 3.50; p = 0.0001), and 58% (HR 2.51; p = 0.01), respectively. Isolated del(17p) and 1q21 + also conferred inferior PFS. The 4-year PFS was 65% for patients with one HRCA (HR 2.31; p = 0.0004) and 55% for those with ≥ 2 HRCAs (HR 2.75; p = 0.0001). In this large MRD-negative post-ASCT cohort, several HRCAs, including isolated HRCAs, remained clinically meaningful drivers of inferior PFS, highlighting that early MRD negativity does not uniformly mitigate the impact of high-risk biology.