Major Long-term Shifts in Spatial and Annual Plankton Biodiversity Patterns in the North Atlantic Ocean

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Abstract

Despite the fundamental role played by marine biodiversity within ecosystem functions and services, the impacts of climate on this key ecosystem property remain poorly documented. Here, we investigate long-term changes in spatial and annual biodiversity patterns for three key plankton groups (diatoms, dinoflagellates, and copepods) across the North Atlantic over ~ 6 decades (1958–2022) at a high spatio-temporal resolution. Over this period we show that biodiversity has generally increased polewards, with significant positive trends that cover ~ 30% [27; 38.9%] of the basin area for all three groups. Between the cold 1965–1985 and warm 2002–2022 periods, mean biodiversity has increased by ~ 8–17% [4.4; 22.2%] in cold-water regions, associated with significant expansions of high-biodiversity periods by up to 21 days [9.48; 25.33]. This pronounced change in species phenology is likely to desynchronise trophic interactions within the ecological networks and perturb energy transfer from primary producers to higher trophic levels.

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