Assessment of Mean Radiant Temperature Using Reanalysis Data

Read the full article See related articles

Discuss this preprint

Start a discussion What are Sciety discussions?

Listed in

This article is not in any list yet, why not save it to one of your lists.
Log in to save this article

Abstract

Mean Radiant Temperature (MRT) is a key parameter for assessing thermal comfort and heat stress in urban environments, yet its large-scale estimation remains challenging. This study compares MRT estimates derived from ERA5-Land reanalysis data, processed on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, with 1,786 in-situ reference measurements collected in urban canyons in Curitiba, Brazil. The estimation methodology employs a Stefan-Boltzmann-based model, using ERA5-Land radiative fluxes and simplified biometeorological parameters. Linear regression analysis shows a strong temporal correlation between the datasets (r = 0.87; R² = 0.758), indicating that the reanalysis approach successfully captures trends in MRT variation. However, systematic underestimation and considerable absolute error are observed (RMSE = 9.65°C), with an attenuated model response (slope = 0.58). The main source of discrepancy is the scale mismatch between mesoscale reanalysis data, which smooths thermal extremes, and the heterogeneous urban microclimate. Despite local-scale inaccuracies, the study validates the methodology as a strategic, accessible, and low-computational-cost tool for monitoring heat-stress trends at regional and global scales, with significant applications for climate planning and public health policies, particularly in data-scarce regions.

Article activity feed