Coupling coordination degree pattern and influencing factors of digital economy and agricultural ecological resilience: Evidence from China

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Abstract

The synergistic improvement of digital economy (DE) and agricultural ecosystem resilience (AER) was important for achieving sustainable agricultural development. This study analyzed the coupling coordination degree (CCD) between the DE and AER from 2012 to 2022 using CCD model, to reveal the spatiotemporal evolution pattern and predict the trajectory of future CCD, as well as explore the driving factors, based on the measurement of DE and AER. The results concluded that, from 2012 to 2022, the CCD between DE and AER had shown an overall increasing trend, increasing from 0.400 to 0.658, with a growth rate of 55%. Most provinces had achieved a level leap. The CCD between DE and AER had significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, showing a distribution pattern of “high in the east and low in the west, high in the north and low in the south”, with an increase in hotspot areas and significant regional differences. There was a clear path dependence and spatial club convergence phenomenon in the CCD. The level of policy support and modernization were the core driving forces for promoting the coordinated development of the two systems, and there was significant interaction effect between the factors. The findings provided insights for optimizing agricultural land spatial planning and theoretical support for sustainable agricultural development.

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