GeoPredict: Machine Learning Based Earthquake Prediction and Risk Assessment Using Historical Seismic Data

Earthquakes constitute one of the most catastrophic natural phenomena, inflicting substantial destruction to infrastructure and significant loss of human lifestyles. As it should be, the capacity to expect seismic activities is paramount for growing effective early caution structures and improving catastrophe preparedness strategies. This research is a specialty of the utility of the advanced gadget learning techniques to forecast both the significance and chance of earthquakes in California, USA, by using comprehensive historical seismic statistics from the area. The paper employs four distinct machine learning approaches which are Linear Regression is hired to version fundamental traits in earthquake magnitudes over time; Support Vector Machines (SVMs) are utilized to classify seismic events primarily based on their likelihood of prevalence; Naïve Bayes is carried out for probabilistic forecasting of earthquake occasions; and Random Forest algorithms are implemented to seize complicated, non-linear relationships within the seismic information styles. With an impressive ensemble of models achieving a top-notch 98.5\% accuracy in the earthquake forecasting, our experimental results demonstrate outstanding predictive performance. This excessive degree of accuracy is achieved through cautious characteristic choice and engineering which incorporates vital seismic signs, wave propagation characteristics, proximity to active fault lines, historical rupture patterns, and the geological pressure accumulation facts. The advanced performance of these machine learning models underscores their potential as the reliable tools for seismic risk assessment and early warning systems. The results of this research furnish strong evidence for the effectiveness of machine learning in the area of seismology, especially where frequent seismicity is common, such as in California. Authorities and the disaster management organizations can significantly enhance their preparedness and reaction mechanisms by utilizing these forecasting models to save lives and minimize economic loss.