Enhancing Reliability of Power Converters in Wind Farms: A Multi-Faceted Analysis of Wake Effects, Thermal Management, and Machine Learning Applications

This paper presents an integrated analytical approach to assess the reliability of power electronic converters in Permanent Magnet Synchronous Generator (PMSG)-based wind farms under variable wind conditions. The study focuses on analyzing the impact of wake effect turbulences and thermal management on power converter reliability, driven by the thermal stress induced by fluctuating wind speeds on power converters. Through extensive simulations using FLORIS and MATLAB, the thermal behavior of converters in wind farms affected by wake interactions was examined to identify potential reliability issues. The methodology involved modeling an 80-turbine wind farm in FLORIS to simulate wake effects, processing high-resolution wind speed data in MATLAB to refine wind speed profiles, and using Simulink to simulate the thermal profiles of power electronics. The results of FLORIS simulations highlighted the variations in turbulence intensity (TI) and power output, while the MATLAB and Simulink models quantified critical thermal stresses in power converters, correlating the locations of the turbine rows with temperature fluctuations and potential failures. Machine learning models, including Gradient Boosting and Random Forest Regressor, were utilized to refine and predict the multi-objective reliability function. The findings underscore the importance of understanding and managing thermal dynamics to improve the reliability and operational resilience of the power converter, supporting sustainable wind farm operations in dynamically changing wind conditions.