Coupling Coordination Degree of Urban renewal, Ecological Resilience, and Ecological Efficiency in Arid areas: Distribution Characteristics, Spatial Evolution, and Factors

The paper applies the comprehensive evaluation method, coupled coordination degree model, kernel density, traditional and spatial Markov chain, spatial econometric model, and GTWR, to analyze the distribution characteristics, spatial evolution, and factors of coordinated level of urban renewal, ecological resilience, and ecological efficiency in the 14 prefectures in Xinjiang from 2010 to 2021. The results show that:(1)The development levels of Xinjiang's urban renewal, ecological resilience, and ecological efficiency show an overall upward trend, exhibiting qualities of "high in the north and low in the South" in space. (2)The coordinated level of urban renewal, ecological resilience, and ecological efficiency in Xinjiang shows a polarization trend and exhibits a high spatial pattern in the northeast, while a low one in the southwest. In the short term, the transfer of the coordination level in Xinjiang has higher stability; after the introduction of spatial geography, the coordination level shifts to a higher level with a higher probability.(3)urban population density, infrastructure level, total environmental investment, per capita GDP, and fiscal technology expenditure all support the enhancement of the coordination level. the infrastructure level and overall environmental investment have notable negative spatial spillover effects, and the impact of the five components has regional differentiation characteristics.