Effect of Selected Variables on Child Mortality in Ethiopia using 2019 EMNDHS: Application of Zero Inflated Negative Binomial Mixed Effect Regression Model

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Abstract

. Approximately 6.3 million under 5 age of children were died in 2013. An estimate of 2.4 million child die before their first month of birth. Struggling for the lives of new-born children must be the global concern. Under five child mortality rates was decreased from 32% in 1990 to 18% in developed country but it was decreased with lower rates in developing countries especially in Sub Sharan African and southern Asian countries. maternal and household characteristics such as place of child residence in rural areas, poor wealth index of household and uneducated mothers had the higher risk deaths of under-five child mortality rate. The data source for this analysis was 2019 EMDHS data. To analyse the effects of selected variables on under five child mortality, zero inflated negative binomial mixed effect regression model were appropriate. Goodness of fit model were based on AIC value and smaller AIC values were good fitted model. In This investigation the variables age of mother, age of mother at 1st birth, mother’s education level, types of cooking fuel, number of living children and types of birth were statistically significant factor for non-zero death of under-five child mortality in Ethiopia.

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