Algorithmic Diplomacy and the Geopolitics of Artificial Intelligence: Machine-Driven International Relations in a Data-Oriented Global Landscape
Discuss this preprint
Start a discussion What are Sciety discussions?Listed in
This article is not in any list yet, why not save it to one of your lists.Abstract
The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and algorithmic decision-making into international relations represents a significant evolution that current theoretical frameworks have not fully accommodated. Established International Relations (IR) paradigms—realism, liberalism, and constructivism—typically conceptualize technology as a tool for statecraft rather than as an influential factor actively shaping the decision-making environment. This paper asserts that such a conceptual omission is increasingly untenable. Utilizing an integrative analysis spanning IR theory, AI ethics, security studies, and political economy, this work examines three principal aspects of "algorithmic diplomacy": (1) the ways in which algorithmic bias within systems operated by international organizations perpetuates structural inequalities between North and South; (2) the impact of AI incorporation into nuclear command and control systems on the logic of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD) and crisis management timelines; and (3) the emergence of computational power imbalances in trade and climate negotiations as a novel form of diplomatic influence. The conclusion presents an initial framework for machine-mediated international relations and emphasizes the necessity for normative and governance responses at both national and multilateral levels.