Machine Learning for Outdoor Thermal Comfort Assessment and Optimization: Methods, Applications and Perspectives

Urban environments face increasing thermal stress from climate change and the Urban Heat Island effect, with significant implications for livability, public health, and energy sustainability. Outdoor thermal comfort defined as the state in which conditions are perceived as acceptable, depends on interactions among meteorological, morphological, physiological, and behavioral factors. This review synthesizes the application of machine learning (ML) to outdoor thermal comfort assessment into a practice-oriented taxonomy. Research spans diverse climates and urban forms, using inputs across environmental and human domains. Supervised learning dominates. Regression approaches (linear regression, support vector regression, random forest, gradient boosting) and classification algorithms (decision trees, support vector machines, K-nearest neighbors, Naïve Bayes, random forest classifiers) are widely used to predict thermal indices such as the Physiological Equivalent Temperature and Universal Thermal Climate Index, or to classify subjective responses including thermal sensation, comfort, and acceptability. Unsupervised learning (clustering, principal component analysis) supports identification of microclimatic zones and perceptual clusters, while deep learning (multilayer perceptrons, convolutional and recurrent neural networks, generative adversarial networks) achieves superior accuracy for complex, high-dimensional, and spatiotemporal data. Algorithms such as random forests, support vector machines, and gradient boosting consistently show strong performance for both indices and subjective responses when integrating multi-domain inputs. Semi-supervised and reinforcement learning remain underexplored but offer promise for leveraging large-scale sensor data and enabling adaptive, real-time comfort management. The review concludes with a roadmap emphasizing explainable artificial intelligence, scalable surrogate modeling, and integration with simulation-based optimization and parametric design tools.