Assessing Public Perceptions of Multidimensional Conflict Resolution Potential in Indonesia’s Capital City Relocation

This research examines public perceptions of conflict resolution potentials related to Indonesia’s capital city relocation from Jakarta to Nusantara and applies these insights to develop mitigation and governance strategies. It uses online surveys covering social, economic, political, and environmental dimensions, along with key-informant interviews. Both quantitative and qualitative methods are used to assess how trust, transparency, fairness, and environmental concerns affect acceptance, legitimacy, conflict risk, and perceived conflict reduction. Results show conditional support, significant risks of inequality, politicization, deforestation, and a need for enforceable safeguards. The paper presents a model that links governance measures, including open budgeting, meaningful participation, FPIC (Free, Prior and Informed Consent), fair compensation, open contracting, and SEA (Strategic Environmental Assessment), with a no-gate, no-tender policy, to public perceptions and outcomes. Implementation is guided by a Conflict-Mitigation Matrix that matches risk categories with policy tools, indicators, evidence requirements, responsible parties, and timelines. Recommended measures include public dashboards, targets for local hiring and MSME access, and independent oversight to strengthen social license and accountability.