Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Infection on Pulmonary Function in the PURE Colombia Cohort: A Comparative Analysis with Pre-COVID Values and Non-COVID-19 Controls

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Abstract

Background. The factors driving Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and its long-term respiratory sequelae remain poorly understood. This study evaluates whether baseline lung function (LF) influences COVID-related clinical outcomes, mortality, and post-infection LF decline. Methods. Data from 602 participants in the Prospective Urban Rural Epidemiology (PURE)-Colombia study were analyzed. Among these, 200 with con-firmed SARS-CoV-2 infection and 402 controls (65% women; 68% aged ≥60 years). All underwent baseline spirometry prior to 2010 and follow-up testing 1-40 months post-recovery. Among infected individuals, 51 (26%) died. Spirometric parameters Forced Expiratory Volume in 1 Second (FEV1), Forced Vital Capacity (FVC), and Peak Expiratory Flow (PEF) were compared using paired t-tests and Cohen's d. Non-parametric data were compared using Wilcoxon s (z statistic). Results. Compared to baseline LF, hospitalized COVID-19 patients showed significant declines in follow-up LF: FEV1 (2.84 vs 2.34 liters; p=0.002), FVC (3.01 vs 2.53 liters; p=0.006), and PEF (399 vs 328 liters; p=0.001). Non-hospitalized COVID-19 cases showed a non-significant downward trend, while con-trols maintained stable LF. Risk factors for post-COVID FEV1 < 80% predicted included hospitalization, elevated waist-to-hip ratio, and incomplete or absent COVID-19 vaccina-tion. Moderate-to-high physical activity was protective. Post-COVID PEF< 80% predicted was associated with female sex, diabetes mellitus, and subsidized healthcare enrollment. Mortality risk was elevated among individuals with low baseline LF, age>65, male sex, hypertension, obesity, low physical activity, and reduced handgrip strength. Discussion. Significant LF decline was observed in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, with minimal changes in outpatients and controls. Identifying clinical and demographic predictors of post-COVID LF impairment may inform targeted interventions to mitigate long-term pulmonary complications.

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