Proactive ML-Enabled Predictive UAVs Communication Network Design for Galamsey Surveillance

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Abstract

Illegal artisanal gold mining (“galamsey”) degrades Ghana’s rivers and forests. UAV monitoring is promising but remains reactive due to miscalibrated perception and unreliable links under canopy. We design Galamsey-911, a proactive system that (i) calibrates a multi-modal Severity Index (post-hoc temperature scaling, small ensembles), (ii) uses an SLA-aware LTE→Mesh→SATCOM stack with ACK timers and rapid failover, and (iii) forecasts 24–72 h hotspots through ConvLSTM, spatiotemporal GNNs, and TFT. Perception is simulated in AirSim; networking in ns-3 [39,19]. Calibrated perception achieved AUROC ≥ 0.90 with ECE ≤ 0.07. The dispatcher met p95 latency ≤ 30 s with ≥ 95% delivery across failovers. Forecasts delivered ≥ 30% lead-time gains, raising patrol coverage +36%/battery-hour. End-to-end detection-to-dispatch latency fell 28% versus a baseline. Combining calibrated ML, SLA-aware multi-path communications, and hotspot forecasting improves timeliness and robustness for galamsey surveillance and generalizes to disaster response and ecological protection.

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