Impact of Climate Change on Water-Sensitive Urban Design Performances on Mitigating Urban Flooding in the Wet Tropical Queensland Sub-Catchment

Coastal cities are vulnerable to climate change and associated hydrometeorological hazards such as flooding. Existing drainage systems have limited capacity to mitigate future climate change-induced flooding problems effectively. However, some studies have evaluated the effectiveness of integrating water-sensitive urban design (WSUD) with existing drainage systems in mitigating flooding in tropical regions. This study assesses the performance of drainage systems and integrated WSUD options under current and future climate scenarios in a sub-catchment of Saltwater Creek, a tropical catchment located in Cairns, Australia. A combination of 1-dimensional (1D) and 2-dimensional (1D2D) runoff generation and routing models (RORB, storm injector and MIKE+) is used for simulating runoff and inundation. Several types of WSUD are tested alongside different climate change scenarios to assess the impact of WSUD in flood mitigation. The results indicate that the existing grey infrastructure is insufficient to address the anticipated increase in precipitation intensity and the resulting flooding caused by climate change in the Engineers Park sub-catchment. Moderate rainfall events contributed to a 25% increase in peak flow and total runoff volume under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 in 2090 scenario. Integrating WSUD with existing grey infrastructure positively contributed to reducing the flooding problem. However, the efficiency of these combined systems is governed by several factors such as rainfall characteristics, climate change scenario, rain barrel and porous pavement systems, and the size and physical characteristics of the study area. Overall, in the tropics, the flooding problem is estimated to increase under future climatic conditions, and the integration of WSUD with grey infrastructure can play a positive role in reducing floods and their impacts.