Prospective and Analytical Forecasting Analysis of the Currently Identified as the Most Critical Materials for the Energy Transition

This paper presents an analytical forecasting exercise about the criticality of an important collection of materials, namely copper, cobalt, nickel, lithium, and rare-earth, recognized to-day as fundamental materials for the energy transition.The criticality of this set of materials is scrutinized not only in function of the comparison production/reserves, but also in function of geopolitical and environmental aspects related to their exploration. For the quantitative forecasting exercise was used a logistic equation tool developed to estimate the future accumulated production considering the logistic extrapolation of the current level of production.