Integrative Framework to Enhance Supply-Chain Resilience through Advanced Forecasting, Anomaly Detection, and Optimized Resource Allocation

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Abstract

Global supply chains face increasing complexity and vulnerability to disruptions, necessitating more robust management approaches. This study evaluates the effectiveness of artificial-intelligence (AI) technologies in strengthening supply-chain resilience via improved prediction capabilities and automated response mechanisms. We investigate three critical dimensions—predictive accuracy, disruption detection, and dynamic resource allocation—within an integrated AI framework. The framework achieves a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 4.5 % in demand forecasting, promoting stable inventory management and reducing stockouts and overstock. Anomaly detection attains 88 % sensitivity with a 7 % false-positive rate, enabling early interventions that cut downtime by 12 % and lower disruption-related costs by 9 %. Finally, the dynamic resource-allocation model reduces disruption-related expenses by 16 % and shortens lead times during demand surges by 17–21 %. These results demonstrate that embedding AI into supply-chain management delivers a robust, adaptive approach to operational stability, equipping supply chains to navigate demand volatility and unforeseen disruptions more effectively.

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