Why SIRRIPA is Set to Replace the P/E Ratio in Modern Equity Valuation

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Abstract

The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, though widely used in stock valuation, suffers from significant limitations: it is static, backward-looking, and fails to account for critical variables such as earnings growth, risk, and the time value of money. This paper introduces a new and robust alternative — the Stock Internal Rate of Return Including Price Appreciation (SIRRIPA). Derived from a refined version of the P/E ratio called the Potential Payback Period (PPP), SIRRIPA integrates both earnings accumulation and capital appreciation over time, expressed as a forward-looking, risk-adjusted, compound annual return. It is directly comparable to a bond’s Yield to Maturity (YTM), enabling a unified and rational framework for cross-asset valuation. Grounded in financial theory and supported by intuitive formulas, SIRRIPA offers investors and analysts a superior metric for assessing the intrinsic value and total return potential of equity investments.

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