Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Long-Term Outcomes and Risk Stratification in Pediatric and Adolescent Patients: A 44-Year Retrospective Study

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Abstract

Introduction: Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in children and adolescents is a ra-re, but significant malignancy, often presenting at more advanced stages compared to adults, although it is associated with favorable long-term outcomes. This study aimed to identify prognostic factors and perform risk stratification with the goal of identify-ing low-risk patients who would benefit from less radical treatment approach. Meth-ods: This retrospective cohort study included patients aged 21 years and younger with DTC, treated at the Institute for Oncology and Radiology of Serbia between 1980 and 2024. Results: The study analyzed 99 patients (39 children, 60 adolescents) with a me-dian follow-up of 15.6 years (range: 0.6–43.6 years). No significant differences in long-term outcomes were observed between children and adolescents. Multivariate regression analysis identified a total number of more than 10.5 positive lymph nodes and extrathyroidal tumor extension as independent predictors of adverse events and event-free interval (EFI). Based on these prognostic factors, patients were stratified in-to low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups. Statistically significant differences in EFI were observed among the three groups. Notably, none of the patients in the low-risk group had evidence of disease after treatment. Patients classified as having no evidence of disease after treatment demonstrated significantly better EFI compared to those with evidence of disease. Conclusion: Our findings highlight the importance of meticulous risk stratification in predicting long-term outcomes and might serve as a basis for developing personalized therapeutic strategies. Identifying low-risk patients who may benefit from a less aggressive treatment approach, while ensuring optimal treatment and follow-up for high-risk patients, remains a central objective in the mod-ern management of DTC.

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