Mean fitness is maximized in small populations under stabilizing selection on highly polygenic traits

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Abstract

Stabilizing selection commonly acts on complex traits that affect individual fitness. Here, we relate mean fitness under stabilizing selection to population size and trait architecture, using a simple application of theoretical predictions for the distribution of phenotypic values in a single-trait Gaussian stabilizing selection model. We show that mean fitness is maximized by a finite (often small) population size when the total mutation rate U across trait-affecting loci is reasonably large. Namely, this occurs when U > V M / 8( V S + V E ), where V M is the variance of the distribution of effect sizes of new mutations, V S determines the strength of stabilizing selection, and V E is the environmental variance. We validate these predictions using individual-based simulations and briefly discuss their implications for interpreting genetic load and adaptability in small populations.

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